BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//Growth Lab - ECPv6.15.20//NONSGML v1.0//EN CALSCALE:GREGORIAN METHOD:PUBLISH X-ORIGINAL-URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu X-WR-CALDESC:Events for Growth Lab REFRESH-INTERVAL;VALUE=DURATION:PT1H X-Robots-Tag:noindex X-PUBLISHED-TTL:PT1H BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:America/New_York BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:EDT DTSTART:20230312T070000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:EST DTSTART:20231105T060000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:EDT DTSTART:20240310T070000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:EST DTSTART:20241103T060000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:EDT DTSTART:20250309T070000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:EST DTSTART:20251102T060000 END:STANDARD BEGIN:DAYLIGHT TZOFFSETFROM:-0500 TZOFFSETTO:-0400 TZNAME:EDT DTSTART:20260308T070000 END:DAYLIGHT BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0400 TZOFFSETTO:-0500 TZNAME:EST DTSTART:20261101T060000 END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250310T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250310T130000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250305T023200Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T002107Z UID:14928-1741608000-1741611600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Info Session: An Exploration of Rural American Economies Study Group DESCRIPTION:All students are welcome to join us for an informational session about the opportunity to participate in a 6-week Growth Lab study Group on Rural Economies. The info session will include an introductory presentation and Q&A by the Growth Lab and virtual participation by the Wyoming Business Council and/or New Mexico Economic Development Department. RSVP is required.  Lunch will be provided. Optional preparation for info session: “What everyone should know about rural America ahead of the 2024 election” and “Rural America’s economies are often left out by a design flaw in federal funding.” About the study group:This study group will meet weekly over six weeks (Mondays 4-5:30PM) to introduce and discuss issues facing rural economies across the United States and relevant national\, state\, and local strategies. The study group will bring in learnings and guests from the Growth Lab’s multi-year research project in Wyoming and new research in New Mexico\, as well as material from the Brookings Institution’s Reimagining Rural Policy program. Application is required. Apply by Friday\, March 13. For more information about the six sessions\, visit growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/study-groups. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/info-session-an-exploration-of-rural-american-economies-study-group/ LOCATION:Wexner 434-A CATEGORIES:Growth Lab END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250305T113000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250305T124500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250227T181600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T175437Z UID:14982-1741174200-1741178700@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - AI-generated Production Networks: Measurement and Applications to Global Trade DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Thiemo Fetzer\, Professor of Economics at Warwick University and at the University of Bonn This is an online only event. Please register in advance. Paper Abstract: This paper leverages generative AI to build a network structure over 5\,000 product nodes\, where directed edges represent input-output relationships in production. We layout a two-step ‘build-prune’ approach using an ensemble of prompt-tuned generative AI classifications. The ’build’ step provides an initial distribution of edge-predictions\, the ‘prune’ step then re-evaluates all edges. With our AI-generated Production Network (AIPNET) in toe\, we document a host of shifts in the network position of products and countries during the 21st century. Finally\, we study production network spillovers using the natural experiment presented by the 2017 blockade of Qatar. We find strong evidence of such spillovers\, suggestive of on-shoring of critical production. This descriptive and causal evidence demonstrates some of the many research possibilities opened up by our granular measurement of product linkages\, including studies of on-shoring\, industrial policy\, and other recent shifts in global trade. \nAbout the Speaker: Thiemo Fetzer is Professor of Economics at Warwick University and at the University of Bonn. Thiemo is also an Academic Visitor at the Bank of England\, an Affiliate at the Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) and a Fellow at the British National Institute for Social and Economic Research (NIESR). His work cross cuts many fields in economics ranging from international trade\, economic development\, finance\, to spatial economics and political economy leveraging frontier techniques from machine learning\, artificial intelligence and computer science. Thiemo has advised a range of players and policy makers in some G20 countries on issues around economic development and industrial policy\, with a special focus on the economic\, social and institutional and political-economic adjustments that are necessary to counter the climate crisis and help shift societies out of the non-cooperative loose-loose equilibria. His research has been featured in national and international media such as Bloomberg\, New York Times\, The Guardian\, Financial Times\, Le Monde\, El País\, and Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-ai-generated-production-networks-measurement-and-applications-to-global-trade/ LOCATION:Online Only CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250304T160000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250304T170000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240312T181600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T001631Z UID:14905-1741104000-1741107600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Faculty Webinar: Strategies for Inclusive Growth DESCRIPTION:Join Ricardo Hausmann and Matt Andrews for a one-hour webinar on the rapidly evolving paths to economic prosperity and how rethinking economic policy\, from design to implementation\, can advance shared prosperity for all.  This webinar will include topics covered in the upcoming executive program Strategies for Inclusive Growth. Speakers: Ricardo Hausmann is the Rafik Hariri Professor of the Practice of International Political Economy at HKS\, and director of the Growth Lab.  Matt Andrews is the Edward S. Mason Senior Lecturer in International Development at HKS\, and director of Building State Capability.  Please register in advance. The webinar will be recorded and distributed to all attendees. This presentation does not qualify for a certificate.  URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/faculty-webinar-strategies-for-inclusive-growth-2/ LOCATION:Zoom (registration information below) END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250226T233000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250227T004500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250219T224500Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004217Z UID:15042-1740612600-1740617100@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Trade\, Innovation and Optimal Patent Protection DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Thomas Sampson\, Associate Professor of Economics at the London School of Economics Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance.  Paper Abstract: Intellectual property rights are a recurrent source of tensions between developed and developing economies. This paper provides the first quantitative analysis of optimal patent policy in trading economies. We develop a new model of trade\, growth and patenting in which patent protection affects both innovation and market power. The model is estimated using data on patent applications to calibrate patent protection by country and the geography of innovation. Counterfactual analysis yields three main results. First\, the potential gains from international cooperation over patent policies are large. However\, achieving these gains requires more innovative economies to offer stronger protection. Second\, only a small share of these gains has been realized so far. And third\, by pushing towards policy harmonization\, the TRIPS agreement hurts developing countries without generating global welfare gains. Overall\, there is substantial scope for policy reforms to increase efficiency. Link to the paper: https://personal.lse.ac.uk/sampsont/TradePatents.pdf   About the Speaker: Thomas Sampson is an Associate Professor of Economics at the London School of Economics\, where he has taught since 2011. He earned his PhD from Harvard University\, focusing on international trade and labor. Prior to his current role\, he served as a consultant for organizations such as the Bank of England\, the World Bank\, and the Bank of Papua New Guinea. His research explores questions at the intersection of trade policy\, economic growth\, and innovation\, including the impact of Brexit on the UK economy. Thomas is a Research Fellow at the Centre for Economic Policy Research and an Associate at the Centre for Economic Performance. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-trade-innovation-and-optimal-patent-protection/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250213T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250213T130000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250214T000400Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T002219Z UID:14935-1739448000-1739451600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Leading Green Growth with Ricardo Hausmann and Daniel Schrag DESCRIPTION:As the world transitions to a lower carbon economy\, new industries\, markets\, and paths to economic prosperity are emerging. Join Harvard faculty Ricardo Hausmann and Daniel Schrag for a 1-hour webinar on how the current energy transition is reshaping economic opportunity around the world—opening new doors for some and posing threats to others—and explore what this transition means for you. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/leading-green-growth-with-ricardo-hausmann-and-daniel-schrag/ LOCATION:Zoom END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250205T113000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250205T124500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250128T224100Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T175437Z UID:14988-1738755000-1738759500@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - From Labor to Intermediates: Firm Growth\, Input Substitution\, and Monopsony DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Matthias Mertens\, postdoctoral associate at MIT FutureTech Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Paper Abstract: (Matthias Mertens with Benjamin Schoefer from UC Berkeley) We document and dissect a new stylized fact about firm growth: the shift from labor to intermediate inputs. This shift occurs in input quantities\, cost and output shares\, and output elasticities. We establish this regularity in firm data for Germany and in firm (and industry) data for 11 (21) additional countries. We explain this regularity through a parsimonious model featuring an elasticity of substitution between intermediates and labor above one\, and an increasing shadow price of labor (monopsony or adjustment costs). Labor-intermediates substitution also accounts for much of the labor share decline that we document accompanies firm and industry growth. \nAbout the Speaker: Matthias is a postdoctoral associate at MIT FutureTech. His primary focus includes analyzing firm productivity\, production technologies\, and market power. He completed his Ph.D. at the Halle Institute for Economic Research in collaboration with the Otto-von-Guericke University in Magdeburg. Prior to joining MIT\, Matthias led the Research Group at the Halle Institute for Economic Research and coordinated the Scientific Team at the Competitiveness Research Network\, where he oversaw the data collection team responsible for constructing the CompNet database for several years. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-from-labor-to-intermediates-firm-growth-input-substitution-and-monopsony/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars,Growth Lab END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20250204T130000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20250204T140000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20250116T005800Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T175538Z UID:14799-1738674000-1738677600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:2025 Summer Internship Informational Lunch DESCRIPTION:Each year\, the Growth Lab offers students exciting opportunities to work with its research teams on applied projects around the world\, often embedded with local governments and project counterparts. Opportunities for summer 2025 include work on the Growth Lab’s Bolivia\, Nigeria\, New Mexico\, Baltimore\, Azerbaijan\, Morocco and Meghalaya projects. We are hosting a pizza lunch on Tuesday\, February 4th at 12 pm to provide more information and answer any questions about this year’s internship opportunities. Please register. We look forward to seeing you there! Note: The Growth Lab Summer Internship is separate from CID’s Global Internship Program.   URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/2025-summer-internship-informational-lunch/ LOCATION:Wexner 434 AB END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241205T130000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241205T140000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241126T174500Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T175437Z UID:14896-1733403600-1733407200@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Diversifying from Oil: Aspirations and Results of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy. Speaker: Ziad Daoud\, Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Bloomberg LP\, Senior Fellow with the Middle East Initiative at the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs Moderator: Tim Cheston\, Senior Manager\, Applied Research\, Growth Lab About the Talk: One of the goals of the Saudi Vision 2030 is to diversify the Saudi economy away from oil. In this event\, Ziad Daoud\, Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Bloomberg LP\, will analyze the results of Saudi diversification efforts and whether Saudi Vision 2030 is succeeding in decreasing the economy’s reliance on oil revenue. Tim Cheston\, Senior Manager at the Growth Lab\, will follow with a discussion on the challenges to economic diversification in an oil economy. Whether attending in person or online\, please register in advance. Room attendance is limited to the Harvard community. Buffet lunch will be served. Seating availability is based on a first-come\, first-served basis. The Zoom webinar is open to the public. \nAbout the Speaker: Ziad Daoud is a Senior Fellow with the Middle East Initiative at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. He is the Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Bloomberg. Prior to that\, he was the Chief Middle East Economist at Bloomberg\, Head of Economics at QNB Group\, and an economist at Fulcrum Asset Management. He holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics and a BSc in economics and statistics from University College London.     URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/diversifying-from-oil-aspirations-and-results-of-saudi-arabias-vision-2030/ LOCATION:HYBRID WEXNER L-230\, HKS / Zoom CATEGORIES:Development Talks END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241203T130000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241203T140000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241122T204400Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T180101Z UID:14814-1733230800-1733234400@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Can South Africa's Government of National Unity Deliver? DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy. Speaker: Ann Bernstein\, Executive Director\, Centre for Development and Enterprise (CDE) About the Talk: For the past year\, the Centre for Development and Enterprise (CDE) has been working on a major initiative\, AGENDA 2024: Priorities for South Africa’s new government. It sets out to answer what is by far the most important question facing the country: What can the new government do to get the country back on track after 15 years of stagnation and decline? This initiative builds on the Growth Lab’s Growth through Inclusion in South Africa project that was supported by CDE between 2021 and 2023. In this talk\, Ann Bernstein will discuss South Africa and the government of national unity (GNU) that was formed following the May 2024 general election. Whether attending in person or online\, please register in advance. Room attendance is limited to the Harvard community. Buffet lunch will be served. Seating availability is based on a first-come\, first-served basis. The Zoom webinar is open to the public. \nAbout the Speaker: Ann Bernstein heads the Centre for Development and Enterprise\, South Africa. An independent think tank CDE is South Africa’s leading development policy centre\, with a special focus on growth\, jobs\, education\, cities and the role of business. Member of the Transition Team\, then the Board of the Development Bank of Southern Africa (1994 – 2001). Fellow\, National Endowment for Democracy\, Washington DC (2005). Public Policy Scholar\, Woodrow Wilson Center\, Washington DC\, 2013. Board member Brenthurst Foundation 2007-2017. In 2008 and 2009 invited African faculty member\, World Economic Forum\, Davos. Invited Fellow Bellagio Center\, Rockefeller Foundation 2016. Her book\, The Case for Business in Developing Economies (Penguin 2010) received favourable reviews in South African media\, the Economist\, Financial Times\, Forbes and elsewhere. The book won the Sir Anthony Fisher Award 2012\, Atlas Research Foundation\, Washington DC. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/can-south-africas-government-of-national-unity-deliver/ LOCATION:HYBRID – Zoom / Wexner W-434AB CATEGORIES:Development Talks,Growth Lab END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241120T233000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241120T233000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241114T001700Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004624Z UID:15071-1732145400-1732145400@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:The Social and Environmental Consequences of the Twin Energy-Digital Transition DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Aurélien Saussay\, Assistant Professorial Research Fellow\, Grantham Research Institute at the London School of Economics Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Abstract: We analyze the labor market and environmental impacts of the concurrent diffusion of green and automation technologies using a novel dataset linking patent data to establishment-level job postings from 2010 to 2023. We develop a new measure of establishment-level technology adoption by constructing semantic similarity links between patent content and skill requirements in online job advertisements. We contribute three novel findings. First\, we document substantial heterogeneity in the labor market impacts across green technology types: innovations in green ICT and buildings technologies appear labor-augmenting\, while advances in green transportation and smart grids tend to be labor-saving. Over time\, green innovation as a whole has become increasingly labor-saving. Second\, using a shift-share instrumental variable (SSIV) empirical design\, we find that increased green technology adoption leads to job creations\, which are moderately skill-biased. Finally\, despite potential concerns\, we find no evidence that automation technology adoption weakens emissions reductions at the establishment level. Our results suggest that the twin green-digital transition may support both employment and environmental goals. Speaker bio: Aurélien Saussay is an Assistant Professorial Research Fellow in the Grantham Research Institute at the London School of Economics. He currently holds a Leverhulme Early Career Fellowship (2022-2025). He will be visiting Harvard Kennedy School in the Fall Semester 2024. His research focuses on the interaction between economic inequality and climate change mitigation policies\, in order to address the social and political acceptance challenges that hamper the implementation of effective decarbonisation. He aims to estimate the impacts of climate change mitigation on economic agents empirically to help improve the design of decarbonization policies. He was previously an economist at OFCE\, Sciences Po\, where he led the environmental economics team. He remains an associate researcher and is one of the main co-authors of the Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policies (ThreeME)\, which is used extensively in France\, the Netherlands\, Mexico and Indonesia to assess the economic consequences of energy transition scenarios.     URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/the-social-and-environmental-consequences-of-the-twin-energy-digital-transition/ LOCATION:HYBRID – Zoom / Perkins\, Rubenstein 429 at HKS CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241113T113000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241113T124500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241021T221100Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003257Z UID:14989-1731497400-1731501900@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Procuring Low Growth: The Impact of Political Favoritism on Public Procurement and Firm Performance in Bulgaria DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Mihaly Fazekas. Associate Professor\, Central European University Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Authors: Mihaly Fazekas\, Viktoriia Poltoratskaya\, Marc Schiffbauer\, and Bence Tóth Paper Abstract: This paper assesses the impact of favoritism in public procurement on private sector productivity growth. To this end\, it combines three novel microeconomic datasets: administrative data on firms including over 4 million firm-year observations and rich financial and ownership information\, public procurement transactions data for 150\,000 published contracts and their tenders\, and a newly assembled dataset on firms’ political connections drawing on asset declarations\, sanction lists\, and offshore leaks. This comprehensive dataset allows us to trace the impact of favoritism in allocating government contracts to economic growth. Specifically\, we find that politically connected firms are 18-32 percent more likely to win public procurement contracts due to their preferential access to uncompetitive tenders. Public procurement results in higher subsequent productivity and employment growth only if it has been awarded through competitive tenders. Firms winning contracts through uncompetitive procedures have flat growth but make higher profit margins. Consistent with these findings\, we show that firms awarded uncompetitive public procurement contracts obtain rents from overpaid contracts\, by 9-11 percent. The results suggest that aggregate annual TFP growth would have been 8 percent higher in the absence of favoritism in public procurement. Speaker Bio: Mihaly Fazekas is an associate professor at the Central European University\, Department of Public Policy\, with a focus on using data science methods to understand the quality of government globally. He is also the scientific director of an innovative think-tank\, the Government Transparency Institute. He has a PhD from the University of Cambridge where he pioneered data science methods to measure and understand high-level corruption in Central- and Eastern Europe. His research and policy interests revolve around corruption\, favouritism\, private sector collusion\, and government spending efficiency. Methodologically\, he has experience in both quantitative and qualitative methods in diverse fields such as public policy\, data science\, and political science. He worked at the University of Cambridge as the scientific coordinator of the Horizon 2020 funded project DIGIWHIST which used data science approaches to measuring corruption risks\, administrative capacity\, and transparency in public procurement in 33 European countries. His articles appeared in diverse\, high-quality journals such as the American Journal of Political Science\, Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory\, Governance\, Regional Studies\, World Development\, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice\, the Lancet\, or International Journal of Data Science and Analytics. His policy reports have been published by prestigious organisations such as the World Bank\, the OECD\, or the European Commission. He regularly consults the European Commission\, United Nations\, OECD\, World Bank\, and a range of national governments and NGOs across the globe. In 2020\, he has won the IMF’s Anti-Corruption Challenge leading an interdisciplinary team from across government and academia. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-procuring-low-growth-the-impact-of-political-favoritism-on-public-procurement-and-firm-performance-in-bulgaria/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241106T113000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241106T124500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241021T220000Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003237Z UID:14987-1730892600-1730897100@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Forecasting Macroeconomic Dynamics Using a Calibrated Data-Driven Agent-Based Model DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Samuel Wiese\, University of Oxford Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Abstract: In the last few years\, economic agent-based models have made the transition from qualitative models calibrated to match stylised facts to quantitative models for time series forecasting\, and in some cases\, their predictions have performed as well or better than those of standard models (see\, e.g. Poledna et al. (2023a); Hommes et al. (2022); Pichler et al. (2022)). Here\, we build on the model of Poledna et al.\, adding several new features such as housing markets\, realistic synthetic populations of individuals with income\, wealth and consumption heterogeneity\, enhanced behavioural rules and market mechanisms\, and an enhanced credit market. We calibrate our model for all 38 OECD member countries using state-of-the-art approximate Bayesian inference methods and test it by making out-of-sample forecasts. It outperforms both the Poledna and AR(1) time series models by a highly statistically significant margin. Our model for all 38 OECD member countries using state-of-the-art approximate Bayesian inference methods and test it by making out-of-sample forecasts. It outperforms both the Poledna and AR(1) time series models by a highly statistically significant margin. Our model is built within a platform we have developed\, making it easy to build\, run\, and evaluate alternative models\, which we hope will encourage future work in this area. Speaker Bio: Samuel Wiese is a graduate student at the Department of Computer Science at the University of Oxford and a member of the Complexity Economics group at the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET). Before starting his PhD\, he completed a Diploma in Mathematics at the University of Leipzig and worked as a research assistant at Cornell University and at the Chebyshev Laboratory at St. Petersburg State University. He is interested in learning on random games and macroeconomic agent-based modelling. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-forecasting-macroeconomic-dynamics-using-a-calibrated-data-driven-agent-based-model/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241030T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241030T130000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241001T194900Z LAST-MODIFIED:20260403T165945Z UID:14880-1730289600-1730293200@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Development Talk: Solving the Impossible Problem of Sovereign Debt Restructuring DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy. \nSpeaker: Gregory Makoff\, M-RCBG Senior Fellow\, Author \nModerator: José Ignacio Hernandez\, Former Visiting Fellow\, Growth Lab \nAbout the Talk: Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government Senior Fellow Gregory Makoff will talk about sovereign debt restructuring. Drawing lessons from Argentina’s 15-year battle with its creditors following its 2001 default on $100 billion on debt\, Dr. Makoff will discuss the two central challenges of sovereign debt: the “holdout creditor problem” and the problem of designing an effective resolution system while respecting the sovereignty of the country. He will also discuss his current research into whether the current informal system of sovereign debt restructuring is adequate or whether a formal international debt court will eventually be needed. \nWhether attending in person or online\, please register in advance. Room attendance is limited to the Harvard community. Buffet lunch will be served. Seating availability is based on a first-come\, first-served basis. The Zoom webinar is open to the public. \nAbout the Speaker: Gregory Makoff is the author of Default: The Landmark Court Battle over Argentina’s $100 Billion Debt Restructuring. Prior to writing the book Gregory was an investment banker specializing in liability management and debt restructuring (1993-2014) and worked as a Senior Policy Advisor at the U.S. Treasury (2015-2016).  Currently\, he is a senior fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at the Harvard Kennedy School and\, since 2015\, has been a non-resident senior fellow writing about sovereign debt at the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)\, a think tank based in Waterloo Canada. Gregory holds a Ph.D. in physics from the University of Chicago (1993) and B.Sc. degrees from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in physics and political science (1986). Gregory is also a CFA® charter holder. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/development-talk-solving-the-impossible-problem-of-sovereign-debt-restructuring/ LOCATION:HYBRID Democracy Lab R414AB / Zoom CATEGORIES:Development Talks END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241030T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241030T114500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241021T185400Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003208Z UID:14984-1730284200-1730288700@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Beyond the Census: Understanding Urban Social Resilience Through Behavioral Mobility Data DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Esteban Moro\, Ph.D.\, Network Science Institute at Northeastern University Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Abstract: In urban studies\, traditional census data provides a static snapshot of cities\, often missing the dynamic\, real-time interactions that shape urban life and underpin the resilience of our communities. In this talk\, I will present our recent research on understanding the dynamics of our cities by analyzing massive behavioral mobility data from mobile phones\, credit cards\, or social media and its relationship with networked inequalities\, such as experienced segregation\, access to healthy food\, adaptation to the recent pandemic\, and public transportation interventions. I will also discuss the methodological challenges and opportunities of using these datasets for population-wide analysis\, from managing potential biases to designing better causal analysis. Finally\, I will comment on potential data-driven interventions to reinforce the social fabric in cities and mitigate the detrimental impacts of networked inequalities. Speaker Bio: Esteban Moro is a full professor and director of the Social Urban Networks (SUN) group at the Network Science Institute at Northeastern University and affiliated faculty at the MIT Media Lab. He was previously a professor and researcher at the Department of Mathematics at Universidad Carlos III de Madrid\, the Sociotechnical Systems Research Center at MIT\, and the University of Oxford. He holds a Ph.D. in Physics. Esteban’s work lies in the intersection of big data and computational social science\, with particular attention to human dynamics\, collective intelligence\, social networks\, and urban mobility in problems like viral marketing\, natural disaster management\, or economic segregation in cities. He has received numerous awards for his research\, and his work has appeared in major journals and is regularly covered by media outlets. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-beyond-the-census-understanding-urban-social-resilience-through-behavioral-mobility-data/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241023T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241023T114500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241018T200500Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003305Z UID:14990-1729679400-1729683900@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - The Effects of Transport Infrastructure on Housing Supply: The Role of Land-Use Regulation DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Kenzo Asahi\, Assistant Professor\, School of Government Pontifica Universidad Católica de Chile Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Abstract: We study the impact of new transportation infrastructure on housing supply using historical and microdata from Santiago and exploiting instrumental variables. We find that subway and highway expansions increase residential floor space substantially\, but when we account for land-use regulation\, we see two contrasting dynamics in the city. In the wealthiest quintile\, the effect is negligible for more than 95% of the blocks due to their initial stringent regulation. However\, in blocks in the first four quintiles of wealth\, the impact on housing supply is substantial and homogeneous concerning the initial regulation. We provide evidence that the transport infrastructure triggers regulation to become more permissive everywhere but in the wealthiest neighborhoods. We quantify how land-use regulation limits housing supply\, thus restraining welfare gains from transport infrastructure improvements. Speaker Bio: Kenzo Asahi is an Assistant Professor at the School of Government. His research focus is on the intersection of urban economics and labor economics. His research explores the effect of physical and human space on the human and economic development of city dwellers. He holds a PhD in Social Policy from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)\, a Master in Research (MRes) in Economics from University College London\, a Master of Public Administration in International Development (MPA/ID) from Harvard University\, a Master of Science in Engineering from UC\, and a civil engineer from UC. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-the-effects-of-transport-infrastructure-on-housing-supply-the-role-of-land-use-regulation/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Rubenstein 429 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241016T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241016T114500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241003T195300Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003322Z UID:14992-1729074600-1729079100@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Using Trademarks to Measure Innovation and Capabilities: Opportunities and Challenges DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Carolina Castaldi\, Ph.D.\, Professor in Geography of Innovation at Utrecht University In this talk\, Prof. Castaldi will review an emerging strand of empirical research using trademarks as data to measure innovation and capabilities. After discussing the specific properties of trademark data\, she will show how they are both complementary and substitutes to patent data in their potential for measuring innovation and capabilities\, at different levels of analysis\, including firms\, regions and countries. Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-using-trademarks-to-measure-innovation-and-capabilities-opportunities-and-challenges/ LOCATION:Zoom / The Perkins Room\, Rubenstein 429 at HKS CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20241009T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20241009T114500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20241003T184600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003330Z UID:14993-1728469800-1728474300@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Workers and the Green-Energy Transition: Evidence from 300 million Job Transitions DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Mark Curtis\, Ph.D.\, Reynolds Professor of Economics and Associate Professor at Wake Forest University Whether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Paper Abstract (Mark Curtis\, Layla O’Kane and Jisung Park): Using microdata representing more than 130 million online work profiles\, we explore transitions into and out of jobs most likely to be affected by a transition away from carbon-intensive production technologies. Exploiting detailed textual data on job title\, firm name\, occupation\, and industry to focus on workers employed in carbon-intensive (“dirty”) and non–carbon-intensive (“green”) jobs\, we find that the rate of transition from dirty to green jobs is rising rapidly\, increasing 10-fold over the period 2005–21\, including a significant uptick in electric vehicle–related jobs in recent years. Overall\, however\, less than 1% of all workers who leave a dirty job appear to make the transition to a green job. We find that the persistence of employment within dirty industries varies enormously across local labor markets; in some states\, more than half of all transitions out of dirty jobs are into other dirty jobs. Older workers and those without a college education appear less likely to make transitions to green jobs and more likely to other dirty jobs\, other jobs\, or nonemployment. When accounting for the fact that green jobs tend to have later start dates\, it appears that green and dirty jobs have roughly comparable job durations. About the Speaker: E. Mark Curtis is the Reynolds Professor of Economics and associate professor at Wake Forest University. He received his Ph.D. in economics from Georgia State University\, his M.A. in economics from Duke University\, and his B.A. from Furman University. His primary fields of research are environmental\, public\, and labor economics with a particular focus on program evaluation\, taxes\, and environmental policy. His research has been widely published and seeks to understand the implications of public policies for firms and workers. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-workers-and-the-green-energy-transition-evidence-from-300-million-job-transitions/ LOCATION:HYBRID – Zoom / The Perkins Room\, Rubenstein 429 at HKS CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240926T160000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240926T180000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20220907T042900Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T001751Z UID:14912-1727366400-1727373600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Get to Know the Growth Lab: Research and Student Engagement Showcase DESCRIPTION:Learn more about the Growth Lab’s mission and approach\, our academic research and policy engagements\, and student opportunities. You’ll hear directly from the Growth Lab’s senior leadership\, fellows\, and staff. Speakers include:Ricardo Hausmann – Director\, Growth Lab; Rafik Hariri Professor of the Practice of International Political Economy\, HKSTim Cheston – Senior Manager\, Applied ResearchTim O’Brien – Senior Manager\, Applied ResearchNikita Taniparti – Research Manager\, Applied ResearchMuhammed Yildirim – Research Director\, Academic Research RSVP is required. Contact Chuck McKenney with any questions. Refreshments will be served.  URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/get-to-know-the-growth-lab-research-and-student-engagement-showcase-3/ LOCATION:Malkin Penthouse / Littauer Building CATEGORIES:Growth Lab END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240925T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240925T234500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240912T002100Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003645Z UID:15008-1727260200-1727307900@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Did the 2022 Global Energy Crisis Accelerate the Diffusion of Low-Carbon Technologies? DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Jacob Greenspon\, Ph.D. Candidate in the University of Oxford Coauthored with Paulo Bastos\, Katherine Stapleton\, and Daria Taglioni (World Bank) Location: Democracy Lab R-414 AB / Zoom Whether attending in person or online please register in advance. Speaker Bio: Jacob is a doctoral student in Economics at the University of Oxford and Research Coordinator at the Harvard Kennedy School Reimagining the Economy Project. He has consulted on energy transition research at Resources for the Future\, the World Bank\, and the Institute for Research on Public Policy and worked as an economist for several think tanks and governments in the US and Canada. Paper Abstract: This paper develops measures of the diffusion of a comprehensive range of low-carbon technologies in 35 countries from 2019 to 2022 using text analysis of job postings and earnings calls transcripts. It documents a rapid acceleration in the diffusion of low-carbon technologies in 2022–with hiring in related roles doubling from 2019–that is driven by technologies related to renewable energy\, vehicles\, thermal performance\, and electrical generation and storage. Rapid growth occurred in three quarters of the countries studied and 228 of 300 subnational regions\, although was fastest in Europe. It studies the role of the global energy crisis in triggering this accelerated technology diffusion\, focusing on 16 advanced economies. It finds that establishments in countries that had a higher pre-crisis dependence on imports of natural gas\, and were thus more exposed to the price shock\, differentially increased hiring for low-carbon technology related roles from March 2022 onwards. Within more exposed countries\, establishments with a higher pre-crisis energy intensity also saw a differential increase in hiring relative to less energy intensive ones. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-did-the-2022-global-energy-crisis-accelerate-the-diffusion-of-low-carbon-technologies/ LOCATION:HYBRID Democracy Lab R 414-AB / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars,Growth Lab END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240918T103000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240918T114500 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240912T000200Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004156Z UID:15039-1726655400-1726659900@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: The Emergence and Diffusion of Green Technologies: Firm-level Evidence from Textual Analysis of Patents and Corporate Reports DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Lucio Castro \, Ph.D. \, The World Bank Location: Perkins Conference Room R-429-B / Zoom Whether attending in person or online please register in advance. Speaker Bio: Lucio Castro is a Senior Economist in the Global Investment Climate Unit of the World Bank Group’s Finance\, Competitiveness\, and Innovation Global Practice. Previously\, he worked at IFC Economic and Market Research and Impact Evaluation Departments. Prior to joining the World Bank Group\, he served in various roles\, including Vice-Minister in the Ministry of Production of Argentina\, Alternate Executive Director at the Interamerican Development Bank (IDB)\, and Director of Economic Development at CIPPEC. He was a visiting scholar and research fellow at Harvard’s Center for International Development (CID)\, receiving the Fulbright Nexus Scholarship. He worked as economic advisor in Latin America\, Africa\, Asia\, and the Middle East for the IDB\, European Commission\, DfID\, GDN\, CAF\, and national and sub-national governments. Lucio is also Associated Professor at Universidad Austral and Affiliated Researcher with Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) SME Initiative. He holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Sussex and a Masters from Columbia University. Paper Abstract: We draw on the textual analysis of patents and corporate reports matched with multi-country\, firm-level panel data for the period 2012-2021 to uncover new stylized facts on the emergence and diffusion of green technologies across countries\, sectors\, and firms.  We document a growing importance of green technologies after 2019\, Among initially high-emissions firms\, those that mentioned green technologies tend to observe a decline in carbon emissions in subsequent years. Buyer-supplier relationships and innovation partnerships with these firms\, especially when they had high-emissions intensity\, are systematically linked with the diffusion of green technologies. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-the-emergence-and-diffusion-of-green-technologies-firm-level-evidence-from-textual-analysis-of-patents-and-corporate-reports/ LOCATION:HYBRID Perkins Conference Room R-429-B / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240723T110000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240723T120000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240711T233100Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T001220Z UID:14883-1721732400-1721736000@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Development Talk: Using Economic Complexity for Policymaking - The Case of Córdoba\, Argentina DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy. This event is online only. Please register in advance. Speakers: Andrés Michel\, Secretary of Economic Policy in the Government of the Province of CórdobaPaula Luvini\, Researcher in the Data Science Area at FundarMatías Gutman\, Coordinator in the Productive Policy Area at Fundar About the talk: Córdoba\, the second largest city in Argentina\, is a major tech and education hub with significant potential to attract new industries. However\, the complexity of the city’s export basket is an important question. The Government of Córdoba and the think tank Fundar conducted a study to explore opportunities for designing a productive development strategy and policy for the city. Economic Complexity is a key tool in this process\, helping to identify sectors with the most potential and to create evidence-based public policies. To achieve this goal\, new data on provincial exports and local firms was used. Using secondary sources and web scraping\, a new geolocated database of export firms and their goods was created. This database was then used to recalculate the complexity indexes at the city level. As a result\, 28 products with potential for Córdoba were selected and grouped into three categories: Machinery\, Food and Beverages\, and others. The Economic Complexity approach is valuable\, leveraging current export data to formulate a concrete plan for future growth. It highlights existing sectors that need improvement and modernization\, as well as strategic sectors that are currently underrepresented but have potential to contribute. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/development-talk-using-economic-complexity-for-policymaking-the-case-of-cordoba-argentina/ LOCATION:Online/Zoom CATEGORIES:Development Talks END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240620T220000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240620T233000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240612T211500Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004231Z UID:15044-1718920800-1718926200@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Unveiling the Latent Structures within the Global Science System DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Lili Miao\, Ph.D. candidate at Indiana University\, School of Informatics\, Computing\, and Engineering Location: W434-B / Zoom Whether attending in person or online please register in advance. Speaker Bio: Lili Miao is a Ph.D. candidate at Indiana University\, School of Informatics\, Computing\, and Engineering. Her research focuses on applying computational methods to understand the interactions among science\, innovation\, and society. Besides publishing in renowned venues\, her research has served as an integral basis for formulating a pilot program—A National Network for Critical Technology Assessment—funded by the NSF and dedicated to informing U.S. national technology policy. She is a recipient of several awards including the Humane Studies Fellowship from the Institute for Humane Studies and the Best Poster Award at the 1st International Conference on the Science of Science & Innovation. Paper Abstract: Science is crucial for innovation and economic prosperity. While numerous studies have investigated the factors influencing national scientific development\, it remains unclear whether universal structures and trajectories exist. Meanwhile\, science is increasingly a global activity\, characterized by the exchange of knowledge\, resources\, and people across national borders. Exchanges\, however\, can often be asymmetrical\, posing risks and costs to global science. Using bibliometric data\, this talk will delve into the underlying structures of national scientific development and examine the impact of global funding and collaboration on national scientific development. The talk will discuss the vicious cycles that hinder the scientific development of developing countries\, the benefits and risks of relying on foreign scientific funding\, and the threats to achieving an equitable global science system. It will conclude with a review of relevant global science policies and recommendations for leveraging large-scale data to formulate and evaluate national and international science policies. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-unveiling-the-latent-structures-within-the-global-science-system/ CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240613T143000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240613T160000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240514T200700Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003216Z UID:14985-1718289000-1718294400@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Economic implications of the Inflation Reduction Act: A Dynamic Analysis DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speakers:  María C. Latorre\, Associate Professor at Universidad Complutense of MadridDavid Suárez-Cuesta\, Faculty Member at Universidad Complutense of MadridLocation: Wexner-102 / ZoomWhether attending in person or online please register in advance. Abstract: We expand a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the economic impact of the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). This approach allows for a comprehensive economic analysis\, considering both macro and microeconomic implications. The IRA encompasses a range of policy measures\, both expansionary and contractionary\, implemented between 2022 and 2031. By employing a combination of tax incentives and reforms\, the IRA leads to a modest overall increase in U.S. GDP\, reaching its peak in the mid-decade. However\, these positive effects are tempered by inflationary pressures\, resulting in reduced export competitiveness\, except in sectors directly affected by the IRA\, such as Motor Vehicles and Electrical Equipment. Additionally\, the tax reforms aimed at financing the IRA primarily target corporations\, leading to a significant contractionary effect on the economy. This results in a slight reduction in employment demand but an increase in real wages. We extend beyond the initial estimations provided by the Congressional Budget Office\, which projected $393 billion in tax credits\, by simulating two additional scenarios: 1) accounting for the uncapped effect of tax credits\, considering that private investment announcements resulting from the IRA already exceed the $393 billion threshold in the first year of implementation; and 2) exploring an alternative funding approach through taxes on workers. About the Speakers: María C. Latorre is Associate Professor at Universidad Complutense of Madrid (Spain) and Member of the Group of Experts in Trade of the European Commission. She is Co-chair of the research groups in Data Science and Global Governance both from Real Colegio Complutense (RCC) at Harvard University and Research Fellow from this institution. She leads the “Una Europa Global Governance Research Group.” David Suárez-Cuesta is a Faculty Member at Universidad Complutense of Madrid (Spain) and Project Operation Manager of the Global Governance Research Group and Member of the Study Group in Data Science from RCC at Harvard University. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-economic-implications-of-the-inflation-reduction-act-a-dynamic-analysis/ LOCATION:HYBRID WEXNER -102 / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240425T143000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240425T160000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240422T143600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003225Z UID:14986-1714055400-1714060800@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar - Extraversion and Development: The Logic of Industrial Policy in Post-Liberation Africa DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development.Speaker: Nicolas Lippolis\, Postdoctoral Researcher at Columbia Climate SchoolLocation: R414-B / ZoomWhether attending in person or online please register in advance.Speaker Bio: Nicolas obtained his doctorate (DPhil) in Politics from the University of Oxford. Prior to the doctorate\, Nicolas earned an MSc in Economics for Development and a BA in Philosophy\, Politics and Economics\, both from Oxford University. He has taught at Oxford\, Sciences Po Paris\, and the University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne. He has also consulted with the World Bank\, and previously worked in emerging markets macroeconomic research at Goldman Sachs in London. Nicolas is a native of Rio de Janeiro\, Brazil. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-extraversion-and-development-the-logic-of-industrial-policy-in-post-liberation-africa/ LOCATION:R414-B / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240422T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240422T130000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240402T181600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T000658Z UID:14865-1713787200-1713790800@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Development Talk - Banking on Colombia’s Development: Innovation and Growth at Bancoldex DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy.  Speaker: Javier Díaz Fajardo\, President and CEO of Bancóldex Moderator: Juan Jimenez\, Lecturer in Public Policy\, HKS This session will focus on Innovation and Growth at Bancoldex\, Colombia’s entrepreneurial development and export-import bank.   Whether attending in-person or virtually\, please register in advance. Room attendance is limited to the Harvard community. Seating availability is based on a first-come\, first-served basis. Boxed lunch will be provided after the event. The Zoom webinar is open to the public. Speaker Bio: Javier Díaz Fajardo has thirty years of experience in financial markets. His work in this field includes management positions in New York\, Washington and Colombia. He has been president of Bancóldex\, Colombia’s business development bank\, since 2019. During this time\, he has led the growth of the entity\, exceeding $10 billion in total assets\, and has transformed the entity’s business model\, going from being a second-tier bank for commercial banking to one that provides direct credit to Colombian companies with an emphasis on innovation\, sustainability and digital transformation. In October 2023\, he was appointed co-president of the Development Banks Club (IDFC)\, an organization made up of 26 development institutions from around the world. Previously\, he was CEO of Renta 4 Global Fiduciaria\, an asset management startup (subsidiary of the Spanish bank Renta4). Until 2017 he was Commercial Vice President and Vice President Corporate of the Colombian Stock Exchange\, where he designed and completed the initial financing for a2censo\, a fintech that allows Colombian micro\, small and medium-sized companies to issue bonds to investors through crowdfunding.Diaz Fajardo holds a Master’s degree in International Business from The Fletcher School at Tufts University and a law degree from the Universidad de los Andes in Colombia. In addition\, he is a member of the Society of Kauffman Fellows\, the main venture capital and entrepreneurship network in Silicon Valley\, and is a founding member of the Colombian Institute of Corporate Governance. He has served on 10 boards of directors and taught the class “Financial System: History\, Strategy and Leadership” at CESA\, Colombia’s main business school. He also served as Vice President of Investor Relations at Grupo Aval\, Colombia’s largest financial group\, and was a director of Andes Capital\, a Colombian venture capital fund that he co-founded.    URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/development-talk-banking-on-colombias-development-innovation-and-growth-at-bancoldex/ LOCATION:HYBRID R-306\, HKS / Zoom CATEGORIES:Development Talks END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240410T100000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240410T113000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240405T233600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T003908Z UID:15020-1712743200-1712748600@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Labor Markets & Green Industrial Policy DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development.Speaker: Christophe Combemale\, Assistant Research Professor\, Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon UniversityLocation: WEXNER W-434 A.B. (Harvard Community) / Zoom Whether attending in person or online please register in advance.  About the Speakers:  Christophe Combemale’s research focuses on the implications of technology choices and process design for skill demand\, and on workforce supply chain levers to meet industry skill demand needs. He is interested in how regional and national labor supply may constrain economic productivity and innovation\, and solutions that enhance outcomes for workers and firms.  He co-leads the Workforce Supply Chains Initiative at the Block Center for Technology and Society. Last year\, he was the workforce research lead for an NSF-funded pilot program seeking to develop a National Network for Critical Technology Assessment. The program developed assessment capabilities for critical technologies for U.S. competitiveness\, to offer insights to U.S. legislators and other policy stakeholders. Combemale is also the CEO of Valdos Consulting\, a firm specializing in techno-economic modeling to support market\, technology\, and workforce strategy. Combemale and team currently apply these domains on behalf of federal\, academic and private clients in health and human services\, technology services as well as advanced manufacturing including semiconductors\, robotics\, electric vehicles\, and defense industrial applications.      URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-labor-markets-green-industrial-policy/ LOCATION:HYBRID WEXNER W-434 AB\, HKS / Zoom CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240403T100000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240403T113000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240208T020000Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004149Z UID:15038-1712138400-1712143800@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: The Economic Impact of Transport Infrastructure: A Review of Project-level vs. Aggregate-level Meta-Evidence DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Timo Välilä\, Honorary Professor\, The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction\, UCL Location: HYBRID: WEXNER W-434 A.B. / ZoomWhether attending in person or virtually\, please register in advance. Abstract. This article undertakes a comparison of quantitative meta-studies at project level and at aggregate level to assess how well the economic impact of transport infrastructure is understood. Project-level analyses\, based on the so-called Flyvbjerg database\, have documented systematic cost overruns and\, less conclusively\, traffic demand shortfalls\, and they have interpreted these findings as being indicative of negative social welfare consequences of transport infrastructure investment projects. In contrast\, aggregate-level meta-analyses find consistently that there is a positive relationship between transport infrastructure and measured economic activity at the level of regions or countries\, especially in the long run and at higher levels of geographical aggregation. This seeming tension between the meta-results at different levels has been considered a paradox. However\, neither the project-level meta-results\, nor the available ex post evaluations of larger samples of transport infrastructure projects provide any conclusive evidence of their social welfare consequences\, and even if they did\, changes in social welfare and economic activity do not need to point in the same direction. There is therefore no paradox about the economic impact of transport infrastructure – we just do not understand its social welfare consequences at the meta-level as well as we understand its relationship with measured aggregate output. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-the-economic-impact-of-transport-infrastructure-a-review-of-project-level-vs-aggregate-level-meta-evidence/ LOCATION:WEXNER W-434 A.B. / Zoom (registration information below) CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240327T120000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240327T130000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240308T004200Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T000810Z UID:14871-1711540800-1711544400@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Development Talk: Economic Gardening and Capitalism’s Conundrum DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s “Development Talks” is a series of conversations with policymakers and academics working on economic growth and development in countries\, regions\, states and cities in the US and around the world. The seminar provides a platform for practitioners and researchers to discuss both economic growth and development and analytical work centered on policy. This event is co-sponsored with the Taubman Center for State & Local Government. Speaker: Christian Gibbons\, founder of the National Center for Economic Gardening (NCEG) and creator of “Economic Gardening\,” an entrepreneurial approach to economic development. Moderator: Lara Gale\, Economic Development Program Manager\, Taubman Center for State & Local Government. This session will be an interactive discussion of capitalism’ conundrum and the role of Economic Gardening- an entrepreneurial\, grow-your-own approach to economic development.  Economic Gardening is based in part on the science of complex adaptive systems\, systems theory and Stage 2 companies with a focus on commodity traps.  Whether attending in-person or virtually\, please register in advance. Room attendance is limited to the Harvard community. Seating availability is based on a first-come\, first-served basis. Lunch will be provided. The Zoom webinar is open to the public. Speaker Bio: Chris Gibbons is the founder of the National Center for Economic Gardening (NCEG).  He is the creator of “Economic Gardening\,” an entrepreneurial approach to economic development.  The program\, created in Littleton CO in 1987\, is widely regarded as introducing the first entrepreneurial element into economic development.  It is a major strategy used in many economic development programs today. From the period 1990 to 2010 the number of jobs in Littleton doubled from 15\,000 to 30\,000 and sales tax revenues more than tripled from $6 to $21 million.  The city did not recruit one business during this period\, nor did it offer one cent in incentives or tax rebates. The NCEG was created in 2012 to assist communities across the country to start and operate Economic Gardening programs.       URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/development-talk-economic-gardening-and-capitalisms-conundrum/ LOCATION:HYBRID T-520 NYE BC\, HKS / Zoom (registration information below) CATEGORIES:Development Talks END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240327T100000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240327T113000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240318T235200Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250910T004012Z UID:15029-1711533600-1711539000@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Property Rights and Innovation Dynamism: The Role of Women Inventors DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development. Speaker: Ruveyda Gozen\, Ph.D. – London School of Economics. Location: Online only. Please register in advance. Paper: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1K5C4dMtp1toJ7AKAHnORAEZYgX5q84I5/view Abstract: How do stronger property rights for disadvantaged groups affect innovation? Dr. Ruveyda Gozen investigates the impact of strengthened property rights for women on U.S. innovation by analyzing the Married Women’s Property Acts\, which granted equal property rights to women starting in 1845 in New York State. She examines the universe of granted patents from 1790 until 1901\, exploiting the staggered adoption of the laws over time across states. The strengthening of women’s property rights led to a 39% increase in patenting activity among women in the long run\, with effects peaking about a decade after the laws were introduced. Importantly\, women’s innovations were not of lower quality (as measured by a novelty index based on patent text analysis)\, without generating negative effects on innovations by men. Therefore\, these findings suggest that there does not appear to be an equity and efficiency trade-off. Finally\, she shows that the main mechanism was through innovation incentives\, and higher human capital accumulation among women inventors rather than an increase in participation in STEM fields\, labor force participation\, or relieving financial frictions. Speaker Bio: Dr. Ruveyda Gozen is a research economist at the London School of Economics (LSE) at the Programme of Innovation and Diffusion (POID) directed by John Van Reenen. She is an applied microeconomist with a focus on economics of innovation\, growth\, entrepreneurship\, institutions\, inequality\, and technological progress. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-property-rights-and-innovation-dynamism-the-role-of-women-inventors/ LOCATION:Zoom (registration information below) CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT BEGIN:VEVENT DTSTART;TZID=America/New_York:20240320T100000 DTEND;TZID=America/New_York:20240320T113000 DTSTAMP:20260412T140642 CREATED:20240312T180600Z LAST-MODIFIED:20250916T175436Z UID:15003-1710928800-1710934200@growthlab.hks.harvard.edu SUMMARY:Research Seminar: Contracting Frictions\, Geography\, and Multinational Firms: Evidence from Mexico DESCRIPTION:The Growth Lab’s Research Seminar series is a weekly seminar that brings together researchers from across the academic spectrum who share an interest in growth and development.Speaker: Luis M. Espinoza Bardales\, Ph.D. candidate in Economics from University of Michigan Location: Online only. Please register in advance.Abstract: This paper explores how contracting frictions and geography influence the trade costs faced by multinationals’ affiliates located in Mexico relative to domestic firms. Luis documents two key facts. First\, distance to firm’s home countries influences firms’ sourcing patterns. Second\, sectors with a larger presence of foreign affiliates are more intensive in relationship-specific inputs. He develops a small open economy model with multiple sectors\, imperfect contracting\, input relationship-specificity\, global sourcing and multinational production. Luis computes a set of counterfactual equilibria to gauge the relative importance of contracting frictions\, trade costs\, and productivity in the price advantage of multinationals over domestic firms. He finds small median differences between foreign and domestic firms regarding inward trade and contracting costs\, with high variability across industries and home countries. \nAbout the Speaker: Luis Espinoza is a Ph.D. candidate in Economics from University of Michigan. He is also a former Growth Lab Fellow (2014-2016) and holds a MPAID (2014) degree from HKS. He will be joining the International Affairs faculty at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M this Fall. Luis’ research interest lies at the intersection of trade and development. His research focuses on economic development from a sectorial/macro perspective\, with an eye on potential lessons for policy. URL:https://growthlab.hks.harvard.edu/event/research-seminar-contracting-frictions-geography-and-multinational-firms-evidence-from-mexico/ LOCATION:Zoom (registration information below) CATEGORIES:Academic Research Seminars END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR