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  • Working Papers

    Kaddah, F., 2025

    Women at Work: A Systematic Diagnostic of Female Saudi Employment Gains in Saudi Arabia

    Saudi Arabia has witnessed a paradox where high demand for labor did not translate into high labor force participation for Saudi women. Despite possessing higher educational attainment than men, Saudi […]
    Growth Lab

    Saudi Arabia has witnessed a paradox where high demand for labor did not translate into high labor force participation for Saudi women. Despite possessing higher educational attainment than men, Saudi women historically faced lower participation rates, higher unemployment, and concentration in lower-paying sectors. This paper examines the paradoxical surge in Saudi women’s employment during a period of economic weakness following the 2014 oil price shock and 2020 pandemic. The study documents unprecedented employment gains driven primarily by new labor market entrants, particularly women with high school education or less, who diversified beyond traditional education and health sectors into retail, construction, manufacturing, and food services. Through empirical analysis of policy reforms implemented between 2016-2022, the paper identifies three key drivers of Saudi women’s employment gains: the removal of legal and social barriers (including workspace requirements and driving restrictions), wage subsidies during COVID-19, and increases in the Nitaqat de facto minimum wage for Saudi workers. While these gains represent historic progress, the analysis reveals concerning trends, including a widening gender wage gap and questions regarding the sustainability of subsidy-dependent employment growth. The paper highlights the need to balance short-term policy interventions to increase women’s entry into the workforce with long-term diversification efforts that align women’s skills and wage expectations with market demands to ensure sustainable and equitable employment outcomes.

  • Growth Lab
  • Video

    #DevTalks: Diversifying from Oil: Aspirations and Results of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030

    One of the goals of the Saudi Vision 2030 is to diversify the Saudi economy away from oil. In this event, Ziad Daoud, Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Bloomberg LP, […]
  • Video

    Webinar: A Sustainable Recovery for Lebanon’s Economy

    In this webinar, Ugo Panizza and Ricardo Hausmann present the report’s key findings and recommended actions, while Nicolas Chammas and Nassib Ghobril offer their perspectives on the advantages and disadvantages […]
  • Video

    Lebanon’s Economic Crisis and the path forward

    In this short video, Ricardo Hausmann outlines our strategy for Lebanon’s recovery.
  • A row of stone homes and buildings on a cobblestone street with modern skyscrapers in the background

    Project

    Asia

    Advancing Shared Prosperity and Promoting a More Diversified and Resilient Economy in Azerbaijan

    This project aims to generate new economic prosperity in Azerbaijan as the economy must diversify beyond oil.
  • Working Papers

    Martin, D.A., 2024

    Women Seeking Jobs with Limited Information: Evidence from Iraq

    Do women apply more for jobs when they know the hiring probability of female job seekers directly from employers? I implemented a randomized control trial and a double-incentivized resume rating […]
    Growth Lab

    Do women apply more for jobs when they know the hiring probability of female job seekers directly from employers? I implemented a randomized control trial and a double-incentivized resume rating to elicit the preferences of employers and job seekers for candidates and vacancies in Iraq. The treatment reveals the job offer rate for women, calculated using the employers’ selection of women divided by the total number of female candidates. After revealing the treatment, the women applied for jobs by three more percentage points than the men in the control group. This paper highlights the value of revealing employers’ preferences to improve the match between female candidates and employers when women underestimate the chances of finding a job. 

  • David Dam
  • Working Papers

    Hausmann, R., et al., 2023

    Towards a Sustainable Recovery for Lebanon’s Economy

    Lebanon’s current economic crisis ranks among the worst in recent history. GDP has collapsed by 38% in real terms. The Lebanese lira, which was fixed to the dollar in 1997, […]
    Growth Lab

    Lebanon’s current economic crisis ranks among the worst in recent history. GDP has collapsed by 38% in real terms. The Lebanese lira, which was fixed to the dollar in 1997, has lost more than 98% of its value on the parallel market. The government has defaulted on its debt, and depositors are unable to access their funds held at commercial banks. Consolidated public sector debt, including both government debt and commercial banks’ claims on the Banque du Liban (BdL), represents more than seven times the current GDP. Public services delivery has crumbled. In short, the country is undergoing a debt crisis, a banking crisis, a currency crisis, and a growth collapse. Four years into the crisis, a resolution remains elusive, and each passing day increases the economic and social burdens faced by the population. 

    Given the increasing cost of delaying a resolution, we propose a strategy for Lebanon’s economic recovery that addresses all the dimensions of the crisis while recognizing the need to rapidly kick-start the economic recovery. 

    Learn more about the Growth Lab’s research project on Lebanon. 

    Executive Summary: EnglishArabic | French

  • Journal Articles

    Çakmaklı, C., et al., 2023

    COVID-19 and emerging markets: A SIR model, demand shocks and capital flows

    Journal of International Economics, 145

    We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for a small open economy. We use a two-country framework combined with a sectoral SIR model to estimate the effects of collapses in foreign […]
    COVID-19 and emerging markets: A SIR model, demand shocks and capital flows
    We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for a small open economy. We use a two-country framework combined with a sectoral SIR model to estimate the effects of collapses in foreign demand and supply. The small open economy (country one) suffers from domestic demand and supply shocks due to its own pandemic. In addition, there are external shocks coming from the rest of the world (country two). Aggregate exports of the small open economy decline when foreign demand goes down, and aggregate imports suffer from lockdowns in the rest of the world. We calibrate the model to Turkey. Our results show that the optimal policy, which yields the lowest output loss and saves the maximum number of lives, for the small open economy, is an early and globally coordinated full lockdown of 39 days.
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