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  • Journal Articles

    Pritchett, L. & Viarengo, M., 2026

    Raising the Bar: An Inclusive Global Poverty Line

    The first of the United Nations 2015 Sustainable Development Goals is: “End poverty in all its forms everywhere.” An implication of this broad goal is the existence of an array […]
    Growth Lab

    The first of the United Nations 2015 Sustainable Development Goals is: “End poverty in all its forms everywhere.” An implication of this broad goal is the existence of an array of poverty lines, which raises the question of an appropriate lower-bound and an upper-bound to global poverty lines. The ‘dollar-a-day’ poverty line (updated for inflation to P$2.15 in 2017 PPP) is widely accepted as a global lower-bound poverty line (GLBPL). However, while different countries, organizations, and authors use higher poverty lines, there is no consensus on a global upper bound poverty line (GUBPL). We estimate a GUBPL using two conceptually distinct approaches, both grounded in the tension between the focus axiom for poverty measures and standard economic social welfare measures. We set a candidate GUBPL either at: (i) the consumption consistent with the achievement of adequate material well-being or (ii) the consumption level where marginal utility is “near enough” zero. Using either approach, empirical results across an array of measures of well-being demonstrate that ad hoc poverty lines, including the World Bank’s highest reported poverty line of P$6.85, are far too low to be plausible candidates for a GUBPL. Using the two approaches across four distinct indicators of well-being all of the empirical results suggest a GUBPL of at least P$21.5, ten times higher than the standard GLPBL of P$2.15. The use of both a lower bound and upper bound global poverty line balances the radically exclusive nature of the ‘dollar-a-day’ standard, which classifies people with very low levels of material well-being and hence very high marginal utility of income as “not poor” with an equally radically inclusive GUBPL which counts only those with globally high material achievement and low (ish) marginal utility of income as “not poor.”

    UNU-WIDER blog: Raising the bar – an inclusive poverty line

  • Working Papers

    Chacua, C. & Hartog, M., 2026

    Complexity: Hausmann-Hidalgo Economic Complexity 

    Economic complexity is an active field with a growing number of methodologies and applications. Among the different paradigms, the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity framework offers a way to quantify the sophistication […]
    Growth Lab


    Economic complexity is an active field with a growing number of methodologies and applications. Among the different paradigms, the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity framework offers a way to quantify the sophistication and productive knowledge embedded in an economy. In this work, we provide an overview of its foundational concepts, empirical applications, policy uses, and directions for future research. We aim to equip readers with a basic understanding of this framework in simple words and to help them navigate the vast literature. We argue that the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity serves as a flexible framework for understanding the dynamics of knowledge diversification across multiple economic domains and provides a starting point for the design of place-based policies. 

  • Nancy Shuman

    Person

    Nancy Shuman

    Executive Assistant to Faculty Director Ricardo Hausmann

  • The Venezuelan flag flies above a home in Barquisimeto, Lara, Venezuela

    News

    news

    The Rape of Venezuela

    June 2, 2026

    In this op-ed for Project Syndicate, Ricardo Hausmann writes that Venezuela’s oil production is rising, yet its currency is depreciating, inflation is accelerating, and foreign exchange remains scarce. The disconnect reflects a political economy built on private dealmaking and a mutually beneficial alliance between ruling elites and US President Donald Trump’s acolytes.
  • Journal Articles

    Yildirim, M., 2026

    AI and Trade: Why Europe Cannot Afford to Lag on Adoption

    EconPol Forum, 27, 15-20.

    Artificial intelligence (AI), and generative AI in particular, is poised to transform productivity across a broad range of activities, with the strongest effects concentrated in knowledge-intensive services such as finance, […]
    Growth Lab

    Artificial intelligence (AI), and generative AI in particular, is poised to transform productivity across a broad range of activities, with the strongest effects concentrated in knowledge-intensive services such as finance, professional services, and ICT. Its economic impact will nevertheless depend on how quickly countries adopt and integrate it into their economies. Evidence points to substantial cross-country differences in adoption, particularly within Europe. Yet AI is not only a domestic transformation; it is also a productivity shock transmitted through international trade. Productivity gains abroad lower import prices and reshape competitiveness across countries and sectors. Our analysis shows that these forces interact: countries can benefit from foreign AI progress through cheaper imports, but without sufficient domestic adoption, they risk losing competitiveness in AI-exposed sectors. The global diffusion of AI therefore makes domestic adoption capacity and openness to trade complementary determinants of future growth.

  • Working Papers

    Bahar, D., et al., 2026

    Japan’s Innovation Challenge: Escaping the Middle-Technology Trap

    Japan remains one of the world’s most technologically sophisticated economies, yet its labor productivity has been stagnant for more than two decades. This paper investigates the apparent contradiction between Japan’s […]
    Growth Lab


    Japan remains one of the world’s most technologically sophisticated economies, yet its labor productivity has been stagnant for more than two decades. This paper investigates the apparent contradiction between Japan’s high R&D intensity and its weak productivity performance by examining the allocation, composition, and effectiveness of innovation across industries. Using industry-level data from the OECD, patent-level data linked across technology and industry classifications, and a set of nine technological taxonomies, we document that Japan disproportionately concentrates R&D in mid-technology manufacturing sectors—such as motor vehicles, electrical equipment, and chemicals—that generate relatively low productivity spillovers. High-technology sectors, including ICT, pharmaceuticals, scientific R&D, and advanced digital services, receive a significantly smaller share of investment and exhibit much higher productivity contributions in other countries. We further show that Japan’s indirect, tax-based system of R&D support reinforces this equilibrium by favoring large incumbents and under-supporting SMEs. We conclude by assessing the potential of Japan’s new 17-sector strategy to reorient the innovation system toward frontier technologies.

  • News

    news

    Macroeconomics of tariffs with global production and finance networks

    May 18, 2026

    In this column for VoxEU, Muhammed Yildirim and others introduce a new framework that integrates global production networks into a standard open-economy model. The central message is that tariffs act simultaneously as demand and supply shocks, and their macroeconomic effects depend critically on production networks, price rigidities, and monetary-policy responses at home and abroad.
  • Past Event

    Development in Practice: The Case of the Cambodia Australia Partnership for Resilient Economic Development

    May 20 | 12:00 pm1:00 pm

    An introduction to Australia’s flagship economic development programme in Cambodia, CAPRED (Cambodia Australia Partnership for Resilient Economic Development). The session will focus on CAPRED’s Policy Hub; an advisory team that […]

  • Silouettes of people and cars at the Uyuni Salt Flat in Bolivia.

    News

    news

    Bolivia Seeks a $3 Billion Tourism Boost to Revive Its Crumbling Economy

    May 5, 2026

    Growth Lab research is cited in this Bloomberg News article about how Bolivia is now eyeing its natural resources as a way to attract foreign visitors — and hard currency.
  • Growth Lab

    News

    news

    Azerbaijan reviews growth strategy cooperation with Harvard Growth Lab

    May 5, 2026

    Azerbaijani Economy Minister Mikayil Jabbarov held discussions with Professor Ricardo Hausmann, reviewing ongoing cooperation on Azerbaijan’s economic development strategy.