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  • Working Papers

    García , F. & Hausmann, R., 2026

    A Change of Denomination: The Case for CPI-Indexed World Bank Lending

    This paper asks whether the World Bank can change the denomination of its lending without weakening its own financial position. Using monthly CPI and exchange-rate data, we construct the dollar […]
    Growth Lab

    This paper asks whether the World Bank can change the denomination of its lending without weakening its own financial position. Using monthly CPI and exchange-rate data, we construct the dollar returns the Bank would earn on loans indexed to borrowers’ domestic inflation and aggregate those returns using current IBRD and IDA portfolio weights. Country returns are volatile. Portfolio returns are much calmer because cross-country correlations are low. The diversification dividend is large enough to make the financially indifferent coupon on a CPI-indexed instrument close to, and in some cases below, current lending rates. The World Bank can reduce one of the core sources of macroeconomic instability in borrowing countries at little or no financial cost to itself.

  • 3D render of AI and GPU processors

    News

    news

    AI giants revive the golden era of invention

    July 13, 2026

    Growth Lab research on innovation and U.S patents anchors this Reuters’ article which contends the rising costs of frontier AI are pulling basic research back into large corporate labs—Google, OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta—much like Bell Labs and GE in the mid‑20th century.
  • Urban landscape with a road and buildings in Ottawa.

    News

    news

    WIPO, Growth Lab launch Innovation Capabilities Navigator

    July 10, 2026

    The Innovation Capabilities Navigator is an interactive dashboard launched by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) and Harvard’s Growth Lab. It maps over 2,500 capabilities across 193 economies to help […]
  • Fishing boats in the harbor in Puerto Ayora, the largest town in the Galápagos Islands, located on Santa Cruz Island, Ecuador.

    News

    news

    Ecuador Launches Tuna Executive Table With Harvard Growth Lab Support

    July 9, 2026

    As part of a new applied research project with the Growth Lab, Ecuador is bringing together the government, private sector, and international organizations to identify and execute solutions for the tuna value chain.
  • Past Event

    Innovation Capabilities Outlook 2026: From Global Data to National Action

    July 10 | 3:20 am3:50 am

    As part of the World Intellectual Property Organization’s (WIPO) Innovation Capabilities Outlook 2026 event, Growth Lab Academic Research Director Muhammed Yildirim will participate in the panel discussion, “How to leverage big data to support strategic decisions.”

  • News

    news

    “Killing the goose that laid the golden egg”: Ricardo Hausmann explains Bolivia’s economic crisis

    June 26, 2026

    In this interview with HKS News, Ricardo Hausmann describes the roots of Bolivia’s economic crisis and how the country can change course.
  • Journal Articles

    Pritchett, L. & Viarengo, M., 2026

    Raising the Bar: An Inclusive Global Poverty Line

    The first of the United Nations 2015 Sustainable Development Goals is: “End poverty in all its forms everywhere.” An implication of this broad goal is the existence of an array […]
    Growth Lab

    The first of the United Nations 2015 Sustainable Development Goals is: “End poverty in all its forms everywhere.” An implication of this broad goal is the existence of an array of poverty lines, which raises the question of an appropriate lower-bound and an upper-bound to global poverty lines. The ‘dollar-a-day’ poverty line (updated for inflation to P$2.15 in 2017 PPP) is widely accepted as a global lower-bound poverty line (GLBPL). However, while different countries, organizations, and authors use higher poverty lines, there is no consensus on a global upper bound poverty line (GUBPL). We estimate a GUBPL using two conceptually distinct approaches, both grounded in the tension between the focus axiom for poverty measures and standard economic social welfare measures. We set a candidate GUBPL either at: (i) the consumption consistent with the achievement of adequate material well-being or (ii) the consumption level where marginal utility is “near enough” zero. Using either approach, empirical results across an array of measures of well-being demonstrate that ad hoc poverty lines, including the World Bank’s highest reported poverty line of P$6.85, are far too low to be plausible candidates for a GUBPL. Using the two approaches across four distinct indicators of well-being all of the empirical results suggest a GUBPL of at least P$21.5, ten times higher than the standard GLPBL of P$2.15. The use of both a lower bound and upper bound global poverty line balances the radically exclusive nature of the ‘dollar-a-day’ standard, which classifies people with very low levels of material well-being and hence very high marginal utility of income as “not poor” with an equally radically inclusive GUBPL which counts only those with globally high material achievement and low (ish) marginal utility of income as “not poor.”

    UNU-WIDER blog: Raising the bar – an inclusive poverty line

  • Working Papers

    Chacua, C. & Hartog, M., 2026

    Complexity: Hausmann-Hidalgo Economic Complexity 

    Economic complexity is an active field with a growing number of methodologies and applications. Among the different paradigms, the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity framework offers a way to quantify the sophistication […]
    Growth Lab


    Economic complexity is an active field with a growing number of methodologies and applications. Among the different paradigms, the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity framework offers a way to quantify the sophistication and productive knowledge embedded in an economy. In this work, we provide an overview of its foundational concepts, empirical applications, policy uses, and directions for future research. We aim to equip readers with a basic understanding of this framework in simple words and to help them navigate the vast literature. We argue that the Hausmann-Hidalgo economic complexity serves as a flexible framework for understanding the dynamics of knowledge diversification across multiple economic domains and provides a starting point for the design of place-based policies. 

  • Nancy Shuman

    Person

    Nancy Shuman

    Executive Assistant to Faculty Director Ricardo Hausmann

  • The Venezuelan flag flies above a home in Barquisimeto, Lara, Venezuela

    News

    news

    The Rape of Venezuela

    June 2, 2026

    In this op-ed for Project Syndicate, Ricardo Hausmann writes that Venezuela’s oil production is rising, yet its currency is depreciating, inflation is accelerating, and foreign exchange remains scarce. The disconnect reflects a political economy built on private dealmaking and a mutually beneficial alliance between ruling elites and US President Donald Trump’s acolytes.