Faculty Working Papers

De Facto Openness to Immigration

Abstract

Various factors influence why some countries are more open to immigration than others. Policy is only one of them. We design country-specifc measures of openness to immigration that aim to capture de facto levels of openness to immigration, complementing existing de jure measures of immigration, based on enacted immigration laws and policy measures. We estimate these for 148 countries and three years (2000, 2010, and 2020). For a subset of countries, we also distinguish between openness towards tertiary-educated migrants and less than tertiary-educated migrants. Using the measures, we show that most places in the World today are closed to immigration, and a few regions are very open. The World became more open in the first decade of the millennium, an opening mainly driven by the Western World and the Gulf countries. Moreover, we show that other factors equal, countries that increased their openness to immigration, reduced their old-age dependency ratios, and experienced slower real wage growth, arguably a sign of relaxing labor and skill shortages.

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Growth Lab Working Paper Series
245
Keywords
Openness to immigration, measurement, aging, wages 
JEL Classifications
F22, O15, J15 

Authors

Nedelkoska, L., Martin, D., Lochmann, A., Bahar, D., Hausmann, R. & Yildirim, M.

Citation

Nedelkoska, L., et al., 2025. De Facto Openness to Immigration. Growth Lab Working Paper, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.